Posted 04 July 2008 - 03:38 AM
Personally, I think DX is here to stay and the reason is all about the economics of chip fabrication. The bottom line is that the FX chip is more than twice the size of the DX sensor and I'm guessing that they cost 3 to 4 times more to produce. There are a hand full of us that are willing to buck up a couple grand for a camera, but it isn't people like that who drive the market. I'd think that the real bread and butter of the market is for cameras like the D40x and the Rebel XTi and I'm not convinced that these camera's will ever see full frame.
I think the chapter for DX sensors in pro level DSLR's is already over and I doubt that FX will ever make it's way into consumer cameras. I also believe that both DX and FX have a place in prosumer level camera. I believe that in the future we'll continue to see divergent evolution of the prosumer level cameras. Camera's at price points in the Canon 40D to Nikon D300 range will be DX while cameras in the Canon 5D to Nikon D700 range will be FX. Isn't there is enough room for both markets?
There has been some discussion on the forum about whether or not DX is obsolete and if it's risky to buy lenses designed for DX sized sensors. Personally, I don't see an end in it's future. 35mm evolved in the presence of medium format.... I don't see any reason why DX could, would or should go the way of the Dodo bird. Whether or a DX lens is a safe investment or not depends on which camp you see yourself in the future.
I agree that DX may have life, but more because it is a format that is more than adequate for most users, with advantages of compact size, very respectable performance compared to FX etc. But I do not think it is because of price. The cost of manufacturing FX sensors is certain to drop just like all electronic devices. Think about the cost of the first Kodak DSLR cameras, about $25000 for a 1.3MP camera (Kodak DCS).
The high volume market considers factors like compact size, weight etc as important, if not more than having superior image quality.
Edited by loftus, 04 July 2008 - 03:47 AM.
Nikon D800, Nikon D7000, Nauticam, Inons, Subtronic Novas. Lens collection - 10-17, 15, 16, 16-35, 14-24, 24-70, 85, 18-200, 28-300, 70-200, 60 and 105, TC's. Macs with Aperture and Photoshop.